emirates7 - A recent report from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) indicates that global temperatures are expected to remain at or near record highs over the next five years, escalating climate risks and affecting societies, economies, and sustainable development.
The WMO’s forecast predicts that the average global near-surface temperature each year from 2025 to 2029 will be between 1.2°C and 1.9°C warmer than the average temperatures recorded between 1850 and 1900.
There is an 80% likelihood that at least one year within 2025-2029 will surpass the record warmth of 2024. Furthermore, there is an 86% chance that at least one year will exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.
The report also states a 70% probability that the average warming over the five years from 2025 to 2029 will be above 1.5°C. This is a significant increase compared to previous reports, which forecasted probabilities of 47% for 2024-2028 and 32% for 2023-2027.
The report warns that even small increments in warming intensify the severity of heatwaves, extreme rainfall, severe droughts, melting ice sheets and glaciers, ocean warming, and rising sea levels.
Arctic temperatures over the coming five extended winters (November to March) are predicted to warm by 2.4°C above the average of the recent 30-year period (1991-2020), which is more than three and a half times the global average warming.
Sea ice levels are expected to decline further between March 2025 and 2029, especially in the Barents Sea, Bering Sea, and Sea of Okhotsk.
Precipitation forecasts for May to September 2025-2029, compared to 1991-2020 averages, suggest wetter conditions in regions such as the Sahel, northern Europe, Alaska, and northern Siberia, while drier conditions are expected over the Amazon.
The South Asian region, which has seen wetter-than-average years recently (except 2023), is forecasted to continue experiencing wetter conditions overall during 2025-2029, though this may vary by season.
Ko Barrett, WMO Deputy Secretary-General, stated, “We have just witnessed the ten warmest years on record. Sadly, this report shows no signs of improvement in the coming years, meaning that negative impacts on economies, daily life, ecosystems, and the planet will increase.”
She emphasized the importance of ongoing climate monitoring and prediction to equip policymakers with scientific information to aid adaptation efforts.
The WMO’s forecast predicts that the average global near-surface temperature each year from 2025 to 2029 will be between 1.2°C and 1.9°C warmer than the average temperatures recorded between 1850 and 1900.
There is an 80% likelihood that at least one year within 2025-2029 will surpass the record warmth of 2024. Furthermore, there is an 86% chance that at least one year will exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.
The report also states a 70% probability that the average warming over the five years from 2025 to 2029 will be above 1.5°C. This is a significant increase compared to previous reports, which forecasted probabilities of 47% for 2024-2028 and 32% for 2023-2027.
The report warns that even small increments in warming intensify the severity of heatwaves, extreme rainfall, severe droughts, melting ice sheets and glaciers, ocean warming, and rising sea levels.
Arctic temperatures over the coming five extended winters (November to March) are predicted to warm by 2.4°C above the average of the recent 30-year period (1991-2020), which is more than three and a half times the global average warming.
Sea ice levels are expected to decline further between March 2025 and 2029, especially in the Barents Sea, Bering Sea, and Sea of Okhotsk.
Precipitation forecasts for May to September 2025-2029, compared to 1991-2020 averages, suggest wetter conditions in regions such as the Sahel, northern Europe, Alaska, and northern Siberia, while drier conditions are expected over the Amazon.
The South Asian region, which has seen wetter-than-average years recently (except 2023), is forecasted to continue experiencing wetter conditions overall during 2025-2029, though this may vary by season.
Ko Barrett, WMO Deputy Secretary-General, stated, “We have just witnessed the ten warmest years on record. Sadly, this report shows no signs of improvement in the coming years, meaning that negative impacts on economies, daily life, ecosystems, and the planet will increase.”
She emphasized the importance of ongoing climate monitoring and prediction to equip policymakers with scientific information to aid adaptation efforts.